Jazz vs. Warriors odds: Pick from advanced computer model on 46-22 NBA run
Gradelo Staff
2 weeks ago


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The Golden State Warriors have reclaimed the NBA‘s best record and look to keep things going when they host the Utah Jazz at 10:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday.

The Warriors are 11.5-point home favorites, down a half-point from the opening line. The over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 204, down 1.5 points from the opener.

The money line is Golden State -825, meaning you would need to bet $825 on the Warriors to win $100.  

Before you lock in your picks on this double-digit spread, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model is picking.

It’s on a red-hot 46-22 run picking NBA games against the spread — a 68 percent cash rate — and anyone who has followed its advice is up big. The model has simulated Jazz-Warriors 10,000 times and locked in picks against the spread as well as for the over/under and the money line.

We can tell you the model projects more than enough offense to go over 204, which hits in 70 percent of simulations. You don’t want to miss the model’s pick against the spread.

Golden State has won 12 of its past 13 and is 27-7 this season, just ahead of Houston (25-7) for the NBA’s best mark.

Much of that has been without Stephen Curry, who hasn’t played since Dec. 4 (ankle). He will miss Wednesday’s game, but is expected to return by next week at the latest.

In the meantime, the Warriors have gone 8-1. Kevin Durant has led the team in scoring in all but one game during that stretch, averaging 29.9 points.

He had 25 points, seven rebounds and five blocks in the Warriors’ 99-92 victory over the Cavaliers on Christmas Day.

Klay Thompson is averaging 20.8 points, 4.3 rebounds and 2.6 assists while shooting 48.7/44.7/89.6. Those three shooting percentages are all career bests.

Utah, meanwhile, is heading in the other direction. The Jazz were 13-11 and holding their own in the rugged Western Conference, but have lost nine of 11.

The team is 1-5 since center and defensive stalwart Rudy Gobert went down Dec. 15 (knee). He’s expected to miss two more weeks.

Offense has been the issue for Utah. It has one of the more balanced scoring attacks in the NBA, with seven players averaging 9.9 points or more. But its top two scorers, Donovan Mitchell (17.9 points) and Rodney Hood (17.4) are shooting 43.8 and 41.4 percent, respectively.

The Jazz have scored more than 101 points just once since Dec. 4.

Can the Jazz turn things around for a huge win in the Bay Area, or at least keep it respectable and cover? Or do the Warriors blow out Utah as many expect? The SportsLine Projection Model’s picks for Wednesday’s nationally televised matchup are in.

So what side of Jazz-Warriors do you need to be all over? Visit SportsLine now to see the strong point-spread pick for Jazz-Warriors, all from the model that is on a 46-22 NBA streak, and find out!

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